[Report] THE FRAGILITY MATRIX: Mapping Global Capital
Why Every Institutional Investor Needs to Understand What’s Cracking Beneath the Surface
ANNOUNCING: The Fragility Matrix
A 7-part investigative report built using exclusive proprietary data, designed for institutional allocators, hedge funds, private equity/venture capital professionals, and sovereign wealth strategists.
CONTENTS — What You Get
1) From Riyadh to Silicon Valley
The definitive map of every major GCC sovereign dollar flowing into global VC and PE. Includes Mubadala, PIF, QIA, and ADQ and others — and their subsidiaries, feeder funds, and stealth investments.
2) Founders at the Edge
How Lebanon, Nigeria, Ukraine, and Venezuela became unlikely tech incubators — and why you’re missing 20x IRRs if you’re not watching fragile-state innovation.
3) Who Owns the Default?
The CLO 2.0 iceberg: CCC slippage, opaque waterfalls, and hidden first-loss risk in 2023–2024 deals. We name names.
4) Lebanon-Style Balance Sheets
How Egypt, Pakistan, and Argentina manufacture solvency with FX illusions, circular debt, and regulatory fog. A guide for EM funds to spot the volatility trigger before it detonates.
5) The EBITDA Illusion
How European carve-outs from Siemens, Thales, and Bayer are quietly inflating earnings and hiding legacy liabilities. A PE goldmine — if you know where to look.
6) Capital Structure Cartography
Who really owns the debt behind Europe’s LBOs now that the CLO bid is gone? Shadow insurers, Gulf funds, and direct lenders — we map the new capital stack.
7) Private Equity in a Currency War
FX volatility is back — and PE firms are sleepwalking into it. We show how to arbitrage cross-border FX mismatches and how some GPs are about to become forced sellers.
Why This Report Matters — Now
Institutional capital is being re-priced in real time.
What was once hidden beneath leverage and glossy GP decks is now being dragged into the light — sometimes by war, sometimes by inflation, sometimes by tariffs and sometimes by FX panic.
Whether you're a:
CIO looking to preserve capital across macro and private allocations
PM managing a distressed credit or EM book
PE Partner sniffing for underpriced assets in Europe or Latin America
Allocator trying to understand where your co-investors are exposed
— this is the report that cuts through the noise.
Why Us, Why Now?
Over 15 years on trading desks, hedge funds, and private capital platforms taught me to look for where the cracks begin — not where the headlines go.
At Amanah Capital, and through my publication Global Markets by Karim Al-Mansour, I’ve advised sovereign wealth funds, hedge fund founders, and PE titans on exactly these cross-market fractures. Now I’m putting it in your hands.
This is the only report tying together sovereign flows, PE capital stacks, CLO fragility, FX arbitrage, and startup ecosystems in fragile states — into one coherent institutional framework.
Reserve Your Copy — £50
The report drops April 17th.
This is an exclusive release for institutional readers.
Reserve now for £50 and get early access + a private walkthrough Q&A.